AM Best


A.M. Best Revises Outlook to Negative for Kentucky Employers’ Mutual Insurance


CONTACTS:


W. Dolson Smith, CFA

Senior Financial Analyst

(908) 439-2200, ext. 5379

w.dolson.smith@ambest.com



Michael J. Lagomarsino, CFA

Assistant Vice President

(908) 439-2200, ext. 5810

michael.lagomarsino@ambest.com


Rachelle Morrow

Senior Manager, Public Relations

(908) 439-2200, ext. 5378

rachelle.morrow@ambest.com

Jim Peavy

Assistant Vice President, Public Relations

(908) 439-2200, ext. 5644

james.peavy@ambest.com


FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

OLDWICK, N.J. - MARCH 28, 2012 12:00 AM (EDT)
A.M. Best Co. has revised the outlook to negative from stable and affirmed the financial strength rating of A- (Excellent) and issuer credit rating of “a-” of Kentucky Employers’ Mutual Insurance (KEMI) (Lexington, KY).

The revised outlook for KEMI largely reflects the greater uncertainty of its operating performance going forward given current competitive market conditions and its weakened current accident year underwriting performance over the past several years. Additionally, the revised outlook is based on the company’s reserve strengthening in 2010 and 2011 related to increasing black lung claims as a result of the Byrd Amendment attached to the Obama health care legislation.

The affirmation of KEMI’s ratings recognizes its solid risk-adjusted capitalization and historically strong profitability and positive cash flow measures achieved through its leading market share position as a provider of workers’ compensation coverage in Kentucky. The ratings also acknowledge the company’s prudent risk selection, diversified clientele and application of effective loss control services, which historically have sustained earnings despite soft market conditions. As both a competitive marketer and writer of last resort in Kentucky, KEMI maintains the ability to command sufficient rate structure while retaining cancellation provisions subject to non-compliance of underwriting guidelines. KEMI remains focused on client service while writing business through a combination of in-house and field underwriters.

Offsetting these positive rating factors is the deterioration in KEMI’s underwriting results over the past three years, as well as areas of adverse prior year loss reserve development, particularly in 2010 and 2011 related to the Byrd Amendment. Additionally, KEMI maintains limited spread of risk as a mono-line, mono-state workers’ compensation writer, which inherently exposes the company to potential changes within the economic, competitive and regulatory environment.

Movements in Washington focused on tax-exempt organizations could potentially impact the federal tax-exempt status of certain state funds such as KEMI.

KEMI’s ratings could come under pressure should soft market conditions and a lack of underwriting discipline, or continued prior year loss reserve development, result in the company’s underwriting and overall profitability underperforming its peers; should there be a material decline in the company’s risk-adjusted capitalization; or should it lose its federal tax-exempt status.

The methodology used in determining these ratings is Best’s Credit Rating Methodology, which provides a comprehensive explanation of A.M. Best’s rating process and contains the different rating criteria employed in the rating process. Key criteria utilized include: “Risk Management and the Rating Process for Insurance Companies”; “Understanding BCAR for Property/Casualty Insurers”; “Catastrophe Analysis in A.M. Best Ratings”; and “The Treatment of Terrorism Risk in the Rating Evaluation.” Best’s Credit Rating Methodology can be found at www.ambest.com/ratings/methodology.

Founded in 1899, A.M. Best Company is the world’s oldest and most authoritative insurance rating and information source.

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AMB# Company Name
011781 Kentucky Employers' Mutual Ins Authority